Climate risk and adaptation

The building is designed for today's weather. It has to operate in 2070.

Climate risk assessments often arrive late and get filed as compliance. By then floor levels, plant locations and shading are fixed, and adaptation becomes a cost instead of a design decision. We screen the hazards, run the risk workshop with your design team, and turn the findings into design recommendations.

AS 5334
2°C and 4°C scenarios
Risk workshop
Green Star Climate Change Resilience

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[Why it matters]

Adaptation found after design development is a cost, not a design decision.

Heatwaves, intense rainfall, bushfire and flooding affect how a building performs, what it costs to maintain, and whether it stays usable. A climate risk assessment tests the design against projected climate, not the historical record. It then sets out adaptation measures while they're still cheap to add. In NSW, government asset owners are expected to manage these risks. School projects have a defined assessment method, and Green Star sets climate resilience as a minimum expectation.

[What is a Climate Risk and Adaptation Plan?]

A test of the design against projected climate, with adaptation measures set while they're cheap to add.

A climate risk assessment covers all relevant hazards across the building's life and sets adaptation priorities. It uses specialist studies where they exist.

AS 5334 applies where the brief calls for it, as NSW Education does. Risk management follows ISO 31000, consistent with the Climate Risk Ready NSW Guide.

We use NARCliM projections in NSW, where agencies are expected to use them under the Common Planning Assumptions. In other states we use national or state datasets.

Climate risk assessment

Covers all relevant hazards across the building's life and sets adaptation priorities.

Flood or bushfire study

Specialists quantify a specific hazard. The climate risk assessment uses those studies where they exist.

[What you receive]

What's included in a Climate Risk and Adaptation Plan

Climate context

Projected changes for the site, using state projections (NARCliM in NSW) and national datasets.

Hazard screening

Extreme heat, bushfire, extreme rainfall and flooding, storms, drought, and sea level rise where relevant.

Risk assessment workshop

With the design team: likelihood, consequence and a risk rating for each building system and function.

Risk register and adaptation plan

Design responses, operational measures and residual risk, with each action assigned to a responsible party.

Scenarios and time horizons

To the brief. For example, 2040–2050 and 2070–2090 under 2°C and 4°C-consistent scenarios for NSW schools.

Integration

With the Green Star Climate Change Resilience credit or the council SMP.

What we need from you

Site, building use, design life and the requirement you're responding to.

[When do you need one?]

Where the requirement comes from.

Most briefs come from one of these sources. Each asks for something specific.

NSW schools

NSW Department of Education requires an initial natural hazard and vulnerability assessment during concept design. Where significant risks are found, a comprehensive climate change risk assessment must report on at least two timescales (2040–2050 and 2070–2090), consider scenarios consistent with 2°C and 4°C, and align with AS 5334.

NSW government agencies

NSW Treasury's mandatory Internal Audit and Risk Management Policy (TPP20-08) treats climate-related risk as a contemporary emerging risk. Agencies are directed to the Climate Risk Ready NSW Guide.

NSW state significant projects

Project-specific SEARs have required climate change risk assessments using NSW climate projections, with adaptation measures in the design. The schools SEARs also require flood assessment to consider the effects of climate change.

Green Star (all states)

Climate Change Resilience is a Green Star Buildings credit. Its minimum expectation is met with GBCA's Climate Change Pre-screening Checklist, which GBCA has updated for v1.1.

Victoria

The councils' Elevating ESD Targets amendment adds climate resilience as an ESD category.

“The school brief says climate risk assessment to AS 5334, and the business case is due.”

We run the initial assessment at concept, and the full assessment where risks are significant.

“Our client's risk committee wants climate risk in the asset plan.”

We produce a risk register that fits your risk framework.

[How it works]

What happens after you send us your project.

Send us your design and brief

Site, building use, design life and the requirement you're responding to.

01

We confirm method and quote

Standard, scenarios, time horizons and workshop format. Fast-track timeframes are available case by case; timeframes are confirmed at quote.

02

We assess and workshop

Climate data, hazard screening and a risk workshop with your design team.

03

You get the plan

Risk register, adaptation plan and design recommendations, ready for the business case, SEARs response or Green Star submission.

04

Frequently asked questions

Which standard do you follow?

expand

AS 5334 where the brief calls for it, as NSW Education does. Risk management follows ISO 31000, consistent with the Climate Risk Ready NSW Guide.

Which climate projections do you use?

expand

NARCliM in NSW, where agencies are expected to use it under the Common Planning Assumptions. In other states we use national or state datasets.

Is this the same as a flood study?

expand

No. Flood and bushfire specialists quantify specific hazards. A climate risk assessment covers all relevant hazards across the building's life and sets adaptation priorities. It uses specialist studies where they exist.

When should it happen?

expand

At concept design. NSW Education requires the initial assessment at that stage.

[Why Makao]

Linked to the building physics

Heat risk feeds the models

Heat risk findings feed into our energy and daylight modelling.

School and government projects

Experience on school and government projects, preparing climate risk and adaptation plans to the briefs above.

Reviewed by Kelvin Mureithi, Founder, Makao · Green Star Accredited Professional, ISAP, Engineers Australia member.

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